Key Takeaways
- Veteran trader Peter Brandt forecasts Bitcoin won’t achieve a new all-time high in 2026, projecting the earliest possibility in Q2 2027
- Bitcoin currently hovers between $66,000 and $67,000, marking a roughly 47% decline from its $126,100 peak
- Brandt suggests BTC might revisit $60,000 or dip marginally lower during September or October 2026
- Prediction markets on Polymarket assign only 15% probability to Bitcoin surpassing $120,000 in 2026
- Technical analyst Ted cautions that repeating recent price behavior could drive BTC down to $45,000
At present, Bitcoin is changing hands in the $66,000–$67,000 range, representing approximately a 47% drawdown from its peak of $126,100 reached in October 2025.
Bitcoin (BTC) PriceSeasoned market analyst Peter Brandt has presented a reserved forecast for Bitcoin throughout 2026. In remarks to Cointelegraph, he stated: “I do not see a new price high in 2026. Not until maybe the second quarter of 2027.” He acknowledged that “this is all guesswork.”
Bitcoin touched an annual bottom at $60,000 on February 6, 2026. Brandt suggests this support level might not survive as the year’s lowest point.
His analysis indicates BTC could challenge the $60,000 threshold again — possibly breaking slightly beneath it — during September or October 2026. He characterized this potential level as the “bear cycle low,” from which a fresh bullish phase might emerge.
Brandt emphasized his fundamental perspective on Bitcoin remains unchanged. He characterized BTC as “a store of wealth” while maintaining a neutral to bearish stance on alternative cryptocurrencies.
Additional Expert Perspectives
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, currently assigns merely a 15% probability that Bitcoin will recover to $120,000 during 2026.
Anthony Scaramucci, managing partner at SkyBridge Capital, shares a pessimistic short-term outlook. He referenced the traditional four-year market cycle: “We’re in a four-year cycle, and there were some traditional whales, some OG’s, that believe in the four-year cycle, and guess what happens in life when you believe in something? You create a self-fulfilling prophecy.”
On-chain analyst Willy Woo shared via X on March 17 that Bitcoin has progressed roughly one-third through the bear market when measured from a liquidity standpoint.
Market analyst Ted asserts BTC has “lost its uptrend.” He observed the present price formation mirrors the January 2026 action, during which BTC plummeted approximately 39% from its regional peak. Should history repeat itself, BTC might descend toward $45,000.
Investment Fund Activity and Market Psychology
Spot Bitcoin ETFs broke a four-week accumulation trend last week, recording $296.18 million in net withdrawals during the period concluding Friday.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has remained in “extreme fear” territory since March 20, registering a score of 8 on Monday.
Not every market observer shares the pessimistic view. Fundstrat’s Tom Lee indicated in January that he continues to anticipate Bitcoin establishing a new all-time high during 2026.
Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds documented $296.18 million in net capital outflows during the latest weekly reporting period, breaking a four-week streak of positive flows.
The post Bitcoin (BTC) Price Forecast: Veteran Trader Peter Brandt Doesn’t Expect New ATH Before Q2 2027 appeared first on Blockonomi.

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