Bitcoin Stays at 95K as Experts Predict Volatility or Breakout Ahead

February 19, 2025 by Mutuma Maxwell

• Bitcoin remains at $95,000 as investors analyze market stability and potential breakout levels.
• Analysts see $95,000 as a critical threshold that could influence Bitcoin’s short-term movement.
• BTC dipped below $95,000, leading to $340 million in liquidations within 24 hours.

Bitcoin (BTC) price remains at $95,000 as investors assess market stability and potential breakout levels. Analysts argue that this price level is a critical threshold that could determine Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Experts warn of increased volatility as market participants react to key cost basis levels across investor groups.

Short-Term Scenarios

Bitcoin’s price dipped below $95,000, triggering $340 million in liquidations within 24 hours. The Value Area Low (VAL) at $93,300 is a significant short-term support level. If BTC falls below this threshold, a deeper correction to $88,700 may follow.

Traders are closely watching the $86,000 level, which could lead to a long squeeze scenario. Analysts suggest that a sweep of this level may trigger a mean reversion trade, potentially pushing Bitcoin back toward $100,000. Increased selling pressure from short-term traders may drive further price action in the coming days.

Market sentiment remains divided, with some traders expecting a potential new all-time high in the short term. BTC’s price target of $120,000 is a conservative estimate for a bullish breakout. In an optimistic scenario, a surge between $150,000 and $200,000 remains possible if demand continues to rise.

Bitcoin May Bottom at 70K Worst Case

Analysts predict Bitcoin’s price cycle may peak in 2025, based on historical market trends. The Mars-Vesta cycle analysis suggests October 6, 2025, as a potential cycle top. This projection aligns with previous BTC bull markets, where price peaks followed halvings.

A worst-case scenario could see BTC forming a bottom between $75,000 and $70,000. This correction would resemble previous cycle patterns, where Bitcoin retraced significantly before recovering. Long-term investors remain cautious, considering the potential downside risk if market conditions shift.

Despite volatility, BTC’s long-term outlook remains positive, with price expectations ranging between $120,000 and $150,000. Institutional adoption and macroeconomic factors continue to support BTC’s upward trajectory. Analysts highlight that the current cost basis levels align with historical accumulation phases.

Balancing Risk and Opportunity

Institutional investors hold BTC at an average cost basis of $89,000, making this a crucial support level. Retail traders on Binance acquired BTC at $59,000, while mining firms have an average cost basis of $57,000. A breach below $57,000 has historically triggered bear market conditions, raising concerns for miners.

Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy accumulates Bitcoin, reinforcing corporate confidence in the asset. The company announced plans to raise $2 billion to increase its BTC holdings. Saylor’s strategy highlights the growing trend of institutional adoption and Bitcoin’s role in global treasury management.

BTC’s current price range between $57,000 and $95,000 remains critical for traders and long-term investors. Analysts emphasize the importance of monitoring key levels to navigate potential volatility.