Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and security agents have reportedly abducted injured protesters and removed 28 bodies from Gharazi Hospital in Isfahan, according to Iran International. The incident occurred on January 8 and 9 during a peak of violence in the January 2026 massacre, a brutal crackdown on nationwide protests. Families returning to the hospital found the morgues empty, as the authorities appear to be erasing evidence of fatalities. This action is part of a broader pattern where security forces have invaded hospitals and detained wounded patients. Human rights groups have been investigating the extent of the violence, with death toll estimates reaching as high as 30,000.
Key Takeaways
- The verified report of the IRGC’s actions in Isfahan appears to be consistent with a significant escalation in unrest.
- Market pricing suggests an increased probability of a leadership change in Iran by December 31, with current odds at 25.5% YES.
- The incident contributes to a broader narrative of instability, potentially impacting Iran’s political future.
What to Watch
Observers should monitor further developments in Iran’s political landscape, especially any statements or actions from key figures such as Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Mojtaba Khamenei. Reports of mass protests or defections within the IRGC could indicate a shift toward a leadership change scenario. Additionally, international reactions and potential sanctions might further influence market perceptions of Iran’s stability.
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Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.

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