Stock Futures Climb as Iran Conflict Cools and SpaceX IPO Looms

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Key Takeaways

  • Stock index futures posted solid gains Thursday following the swift conclusion of recent US military action against Iran
  • Futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 advanced between 0.8% and 1.1% in pre-market trading
  • May wholesale inflation data exceeded forecasts, showing producer prices surged 1.1% on a monthly basis
  • Bitcoin advanced 1.6% to reach $62,583 amid strengthening risk appetite
  • SpaceX prepares to finalize IPO pricing Thursday before its anticipated Friday trading debut

Equity markets signaled strength Thursday morning following another wave of US military strikes against Iran. Market participants demonstrated resilience, with futures bouncing back from the previous session’s downturn.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 410 points, representing a 0.8% gain. The S&P 500 futures advanced 0.8%, while Nasdaq 100 futures led the rally with a 1.1% increase.

E-Mini S&P 500 Jun 26 (ES=F)E-Mini S&P 500 Jun 26 (ES=F)

Wednesday’s Session Brought Steep Losses

Major equity benchmarks experienced significant declines during Wednesday’s trading session. Technology and artificial intelligence stocks bore the brunt of selling pressure as inflation concerns and anticipation surrounding the SpaceX IPO dampened market enthusiasm.

Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial, cautioned that “technical damage continues to build across the heavyweight technology sector.” He noted that neither oversold conditions nor meaningful support levels have materialized yet.

Equity valuations faced headwinds even before Wednesday’s decline, as US military operations against Iran resumed Tuesday. These actions were characterized as retaliation for an Apache helicopter being shot down during the weekend.

President Trump stated Wednesday that Iran would face severe consequences and “pay the price” for negotiations remaining at an impasse. Initial market reaction proved negative, with crude oil prices jumping sharply and anxiety mounting over potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

BREAKING: President Trump says the US will be "hitting Iran very hard tonight" and announces that the US will be "taking Kharg Island" in the "not too distant future."

President Trump also says the US will "assume total control" of Iran's oil and gas markets, "much like we have… pic.twitter.com/uvBNjEkE5W

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 11, 2026

Producer Price Data Exceeds Expectations

May’s wholesale inflation figures surpassed analyst projections. Producer prices climbed 1.1% from the previous month, topping the consensus estimate of 0.7%.

On an annual basis, headline wholesale inflation registered a 6.5% increase, marginally above the 6.4% projection. Core wholesale price growth measured 4.9% year-over-year, landing beneath forecasted levels.

These wholesale price numbers arrived on the heels of Tuesday’s consumer inflation report, which similarly revealed pricing pressures exceeding expectations.

The European Central Bank faces widespread expectations to implement its first interest rate increase in nearly three years. Such action could foreshadow additional monetary tightening from other central banking institutions, potentially including the Federal Reserve.

Historic SpaceX Public Offering Commands Attention

The SpaceX initial public offering stands as potentially the week’s most significant development, projected to become the largest IPO ever recorded. Pricing is slated for Thursday, with shares expected to begin trading Friday.

Oracle released quarterly results following Wednesday’s closing bell. While earnings topped projections, shares declined in extended trading after cloud revenue disappointed investors.

Oil prices edged lower Thursday notwithstanding renewed US-Iran military confrontation. Brent crude retreated 0.3% to settle at $92.80 per barrel. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield decreased 2 basis points to 4.54%.

Bitcoin climbed 1.6% during the 24-hour period to $62,583, signaling improved risk tolerance among market participants.

The US dollar maintained stability against a basket of peer currencies as traders assessed the confluence of geopolitical developments and inflation metrics.

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