Florida votes in special Senate primary to fill Rubio’s term

https://time.com/collection/100-most-influential-people/2026/marco-rubio/

Florida voters are participating in a special Senate primary to determine who will fill the remaining two years of Marco Rubio’s term. The primary features significant candidates, including interim senator Ashley Moody for the Republicans and state Rep. Angie Nixon and retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman for the Democrats. As live results began to trickle in, no decisive outcomes were reported, leaving the race open. The lack of initial vote tallies from major news sources like AP and The New York Times suggests uncertainty about the immediate frontrunners.

Key Takeaways

• The ongoing special Senate primary in Florida appears to be a critical event in determining the state’s political landscape, particularly for the Democratic nomination.
• Market pricing suggests a significant likelihood of Alexander Vindman becoming the Democratic nominee, with his odds currently at 93.8% YES.
• The absence of early vote counts may indicate a prolonged period of uncertainty regarding the primary’s outcome.

What to Watch

As the counting progresses, fluctuations in market odds could provide further insights into the likely nominees. Watch for any official announcements from the Florida Democratic Party, which could reinforce the current pricing supportive of Vindman’s lead. Additionally, shifts in endorsements or significant fundraising developments might alter the landscape, especially if any candidates experience a surge in support or face unexpected challenges.

Get live prediction-market analysis, powered by Vera. Sign up for Vera.