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Iraq has communicated to Jordan its intention to strike pro-Iran militias if these groups launch attacks against Jordan, according to a Jordanian official. This development comes amid ongoing regional tensions involving Iran-aligned armed factions operating in Iraq, with potential threats to Jordan’s security. The statement also included Jordan’s expectation that Iraq will take measures to control these militias, highlighting an increase in military and intelligence coordination between the two nations. This announcement marks a significant escalation in the Jordan-Iraq border security crisis, as it implies direct Iraqi military engagement against militias linked with Iran.
Key Takeaways
- Iraq’s pledge to target pro-Iran militias suggests a potential increase in regional military tensions, impacting the likelihood of a US-Iran deal.
- The statement indicates enhanced military coordination between Iraq and Jordan, beyond diplomatic efforts.
- Market pricing reflects decreased confidence in a US-Iran deal, with the likelihood of such an agreement dropping recently.
What to Watch
Observers should monitor any military actions by Iraq against Iran-backed militias, as such developments could further decrease the probability of a US-Iran deal in 2026. Additionally, any statements or policy shifts from Iraqi or Iranian officials in response to this announcement may influence market pricing further. Key diplomatic movements involving the United States, Iran, and regional actors like Jordan and Iraq will be crucial in assessing future probabilities in related markets.
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Disclosure: This article was edited by Estefano Gomez. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.
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