Ohtani’s knee setback clouds Dodgers’ pitching plans, impacts MVP chances

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/mlb/player/shohei-ohtani-PYXhWEdNdM6bQVDP/

Shohei Ohtani, the Los Angeles Dodgers’ star two-way player, has experienced a setback in his plans to return to the pitching lineup due to an ongoing left knee issue. This injury has previously kept him from pitching, including missing the 2026 All-Star Game earlier this month. Despite being sidelined from the mound, Ohtani continues to play as a designated hitter for the Dodgers. His return to the rotation remains uncertain, as recent attempts to resume pitching were paused after he felt discomfort during practice.

The market for the 2026 National League MVP Award has seen a notable adjustment in response to this news. Ohtani’s MVP chances appear to be impacted, with the probability of a YES outcome decreasing from 76% to 70% in the past 24 hours. This suggests that market participants are factoring in concerns about his health and the potential impact on his dual-role performance. The setback could pose challenges to his MVP pursuit, as his ability to contribute as a pitcher remains in question.

Market participants are closely watching how this development affects Ohtani’s MVP candidacy, especially given the competitive field that includes players like Juan Soto and Fernando Tatis Jr. The Dodgers and Ohtani’s management have yet to provide a timeline for his full recovery and return to pitching duties.

Key Takeaways

• Ohtani’s knee setback appears consistent with a decrease in his 2026 NL MVP odds, now at 70% YES.
• Market adjustments suggest concerns about Ohtani’s dual-role performance impacting MVP chances.
• Ohtani’s ongoing hitting performance remains a factor, but pitching uncertainty influences market sentiment.

What to Watch

Market participants will be monitoring any updates from the Dodgers regarding Ohtani’s health and potential return to pitching. Announcements about his recovery timeline could significantly impact MVP market dynamics. Additionally, performances by other MVP contenders like Juan Soto or Fernando Tatis Jr. could further influence market sentiment. Watch for any decisions by the Dodgers that might clarify Ohtani’s role for the remainder of the season, as these could be pivotal in shaping MVP market expectations.

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